Table 2 Performance of prognostic models
From: Prognostic models for the early care of trauma patients: a systematic review
Model Derivation study (No. pts; Country) | Study (No.pts; Country) | Main outcome | Performance |
|---|---|---|---|
CRAMS | Gormican-82∞ (500 pts; USA) | Survival or emergency surgery | CRAMS < 9: Sens = 92%; Spec = NA |
Baxt-89 (2 434 pts; USA) | Survival | ROC-curves presented, AUC = NA | |
Emerman-92 (1 027 pts; USA)* | Survival | CRAMS < 9: Sens = 100%; Spec = 83% | |
PHI | Koehler-86 ∞ ( 465 pts; USA) | Survival or emergency surgery | PHI > 3 = Sens = NA; Spec = NA |
Koehler-86 (388 pts; USA) | Survival or emergency surgery | PHI > 3: Sens = 94,4%; Spec = 94,6% | |
Baxt-89 (2 434 pts; USA) | Survival | ROC-curves presented, AUC = NA | |
Emerman-92 (1 027 pts; USA) | Survival | PHI > 3: Sens = 100%; Spec = 88% | |
Plant-95 (621 pts; Canada) | Survival | PHI > 3: Sens = 98%; Spec = 54% | |
Bond-97 (3147 pts; Canada) | ISS > 15 | PHI > 3: Sens = 41%; Spec = 98% | |
Tamim-02 (1 291 pts; Canada) | Survival or emergency surgery or ICU admittance | AUC = 0,66 | |
T-RTS | Champion-89 ∞ ( 2 166 pts; USA) | ISS > 15 | T-RTS < 12: Sens = 59%; Spec = 82% |
Baxt-89 (2 434 pts; USA) | Survival | ROC-curves presented, AUC = NA | |
Emerman-92 (1 027 pts; USA) | Survival | T-RTS < 12: Sens = 100%; Spec = 88% | |
Roorda-96 (398 pts; The Netherlands) | Survival or emergency surgery or ICU admittance | T-RTS < 12: Sens = 76%; Spec = 94% | |
Al-Salamah-04 (795 pts; Canada) | Survival | AUC = 0,83 | |
Ahmad-04 (30 pts; Pakistan) | Survival | Mortality = T-RTS 6-7 = 60%, T-RTS 8-10 = 12,5%, T-RTS 11-12 = 8,3% | |
Moore-06 (22 388 pts; Canada) | Survival | AUC = 0,84 | |
Sartorius-10 (1 003 pts; France) | Survival | AUC = 0,88 | |
PSS | Husum-03∞(717 pts; Iraq and Cambodia) | Survival | AUC = 0,93 |
MGAP | Sartorius-10∞(1 360 pts; France) | Survival | AUC = 0.90 |
Sartorius-10 (1 003 pts; France) | Survival | AUC = 0,91 |