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Table 2 Each evaluated guideline’s theoretical performance in detecting intracranial hemorrhage and its theoretical effect on CT rate

From: Application of NICE or SNC guidelines may reduce the need for computerized tomographies in patients with mild traumatic brain injury: a retrospective chart review and theoretical application of five guidelines

Guideline

Sensitivity %

Specificity %

NPV %

PPV %

CT rate %

∆ CT rate a %

a-NOC (95% CI)

97.1 (90.1–99.7)

3.4 (2.4–4.5)

95.6 (84.2–98.9)

5.2 (5–5.4)

96.7 (95.6–97.6)

+  35.7 (P < 0.001)

a-CCHR (95% CI)

87.1 (77–94)

35.7 (33.1–38.9)

98.1 (96.5–99)

6.9 (6.3–7.6)

65.5 (62.9–68)

+  4.5 (P = 0.015)

NEXUS II (95% CI)

85.7 (75.3–92.3)

35.2 (32.6–37.9)

97.8 (96.2–98.8)

6.7 (6.1–7.4)

65.9 (63.3–68.4)

+  4.9 (P = 0.008)

NICE (95% CI)

75.7 (63.1–83.5)

58 (55–60.5)

97.8 (96.7–98.6)

8.9 (7.8–10.2)

44 (41.3–46.7)

- 17 (P < 0.001)

SNC (95% CI)

88.6 (78.7–94.9)

50 (47.3–52.8)

98.8 (97.7–99.4)

8.8 (8–9.7)

52 (49.3–54.7)

- 9 (P < 0.001)

  1. Abbreviations: CT Computerized tomography, NPV Negative predictive value, PPV Positive predictive value, a-NOC Adapted New Orleans Criteria, a-CCHR Adapted Canadian CT Head Rule, NEXUS II National Emergency X-Radiography Utilization Study II, NICE National Institute of Health and Care Excellence, SNC Scandinavian Neurotrauma Committee
  2. aAnalyzed with χ2 test