Table 3 Prediction performance of the four prediction models
Cut-off probability | Misclassification rate | Sensitivity | Specificity | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
H1 | H12 | H24 | H48 | H1 | H12 | H24 | H48 | H1 | H12 | H24 | H48 | |
0.45 | 26.2 (9.1) | 22.9 (8.0) | 21.8 (8.2) | – | 75.2 (12.5) | 78.4 (12.2) | 79.8 (12.4) | – | 70.8 (14.9) | 76.2 (11.8) | 77.4 (13.2) | – |
0.50 | 25.3 (9.2) | 22.5 (8.2) | 21.5 (8.2) | – | 72.9 (12.8) | 76.5 (12.8) | 77.6 (12.9) | – | 77.4 (13.7) | 78.9 (11.6) | 79.9 (12.6) | – |
0.55 | 24.8 (9.2) | 22.3 (8.3) | 21.5 (8.4) | 23.7 (9.6) | 70.5 (13.1) | 74.1 (13.5) | 75.3 (13.6) | 78.6 (14.2) | 74.3 (14.4) | 81.5 (11.3) | 82.2 (12.3) | 74.6 (15.6) |
0.60 | – | – | – | 23.4 (9.5) | – | – | – | 76.8 (14.4) | – | – | – | 77.2 (15.0) |
0.65 | – | – | – | 23.3 (9.4) | – | – | – | 74.6 (14.6) | – | – | – | 77.4 (13.2) |