Table 2 Area under the receiver operation characteristics curve and Brier score for prediction of 30-day mortality in patients presenting in the emergency department

Triage

63.4 [59.1;67.5]

4.90 [4.24;5.62]

62.8 [59.4;66.2]

3.85 [3.40;4.30]

Demographics^c

74.9 [71.4;78.2]

4.79 [4.17;5.49]

78.5 [76.1;81.0]

3.75 [3.34;4.17]

Blood tests^d

86.2 [83.1;89.3]

86.7 [84.4;88.9]

3.77 [3.44;4.11]

Blood tests^d + demographics^c

88.1 [85.7;90.5]

4.18 [3.60;4.79]

89.7 [88.1;91.4]

3.56 [3.24;3.88]

Blood tests^d + demographics^c + triage

88.6 [86.1;91.1]

4.11 [3.54;4.70]

90.8 [89.2;92.3]

3.40 [3.08;3.72]