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Table 7 The Danish Regions Pediatric triage as a screening tool to detect A) the most ill children and B) those who went home with no treatment. Both divided by reasons for referral

From: The danish regions pediatric triage model has a limited ability to detect both critically ill children as well as children to be sent home without treatment – a study of diagnostic accuracy

 

Neurological reasons for referral

Respiratory reasons for referral

Abdominal and urological reasons for referral

Fever as reason for referral

Other reasons for referral

A

Ability to detect critically ill patients

 Number of patients

  True positive

1

1

0

0

3

  True negative

60

125

143

58

131

  False positive

3

19

3

7

5

  False negative

1

3

2

3

12

 Screening values

  Sensitivity

50% (1-99)

25% (1-81)

0% (0-84)

0% (0-71)

20% (4-48)

  Specificity

95% (87-99)

87% (80-92)

98% (94-100)

89% (79-96)

96% (92-99)

  PPV

25% (1-81)

5% (0-25)

0% (0-71)

0% (0-41)

38% (9-76)

  NPV

98% (91-100)

98% (93-100)

99% (95-100)

95% (86-99)

92% (86-96)

  Accuracy

94% (88-100)

85% (79-91)

97% (94-100)

85% (77-94)

89% (84-94)

 Likelihood ratios

  of positive test

10.5 (1.8-61.8)

1.9 (0.3-10.9)

0.0

0.0

5.4 (1.4-20.5)

  of negative test

0.5 (0.1-2.1)

0.9 (0.5-1.5)

1.0 (1.0-1.1)

1.1 (1.0-1.2)

0.8 (0.6-1.1)

B

Ability to detect patients who went home with no treatment

 Number of patients

  True positive

11

30

40

6

50

  True negative

22

34

37

26

36

  False positive

28

75

39

33

44

  False negative

4

9

32

3

21

 Screening values

  Sensitivity

28% (15-45)

29% (20-38)

51% (39-62)

15% (6-31)

53% (43-64)

  Specificity

85% (65-96)

79% (64-90)

54% (41-66)

90% (73-98)

63% (49-76)

  PPV

73% (45-92)

77% (61-89)

56% (43-67)

67% (30-93)

70% (58-81)

  NPV

44% (30-59)

31% (23-41)

49% (37-60)

44% (31-58)

45% (34-57)

  Accuracy

51% (38-63)

43% (35-51)

52% (44-60)

47% (35-59)

 

 Likelihood ratios

  of positive test

1.8 (0.7-5.1)

1.4 (0.7-2.6)

1.1 (0.8-1.5)

1.5 (0.45.5)

1.4 (10-2.1)

  of negative test

0.9 (0.7-1.1)

0.9 (0.7-1.1)

0.9 (0.7-1.3)

0.9 (0.8-11)

0.7 (0.6-1.0)

  1. 95%-confidence intervals are indicated in brackets